Research

Paper

AI LLM February 25, 2026

PPCR-IM: A System for Multi-layer DAG-based Public Policy Consequence Reasoning and Social Indicator Mapping

Authors

Zichen Song, Weijia Li

Abstract

Public policy decisions are typically justified using a narrow set of headline indicators, leaving many downstream social impacts unstructured and difficult to compare across policies. We propose PPCR-IM, a system for multi-layer DAG-based consequence reasoning and social indicator mapping that addresses this gap. Given a policy description and its context, PPCR-IM uses an LLM-driven, layer-wise generator to construct a directed acyclic graph of intermediate consequences, allowing child nodes to have multiple parents to capture joint influences. A mapping module then aligns these nodes to a fixed indicator set and assigns one of three qualitative impact directions: increase, decrease, or ambiguous change. For each policy episode, the system outputs a structured record containing the DAG, indicator mappings, and three evaluation measures: an expected-indicator coverage score, a discovery rate for overlooked but relevant indicators, and a relative focus ratio comparing the systems coverage to that of the government. PPCR-IM is available both as an online demo and as a configurable XLSX-to-JSON batch pipeline.

Metadata

arXiv ID: 2602.21650
Provider: ARXIV
Primary Category: cs.SI
Published: 2026-02-25
Fetched: 2026-02-26 05:00

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