Paper
Drift-to-Action Controllers: Budgeted Interventions with Online Risk Certificates
Authors
Ismail Lamaakal, Chaymae Yahyati, Khalid El Makkaoui, Ibrahim Ouahbi, Yassine Maleh
Abstract
Deployed machine learning systems face distribution drift, yet most monitoring pipelines stop at alarms and leave the response underspecified under labeling, compute, and latency constraints. We introduce Drift2Act, a drift-to-action controller that treats monitoring as constrained decision-making with explicit safety. Drift2Act combines a sensing layer that maps unlabeled monitoring signals to a belief over drift types with an active risk certificate that queries a small set of delayed labels from a recent window to produce an anytime-valid upper bound $U_t(δ)$ on current risk. The certificate gates operation: if $U_t(δ) \le τ$, the controller selects low-cost actions (e.g., recalibration or test-time adaptation); if $U_t(δ) > τ$, it activates abstain/handoff and escalates to rollback or retraining under cooldowns. In a realistic streaming protocol with label delay and explicit intervention costs, Drift2Act achieves near-zero safety violations and fast recovery at moderate cost on WILDS Camelyon17, DomainNet, and a controlled synthetic drift stream, outperforming alarm-only monitoring, adapt-always adaptation, schedule-based retraining, selective prediction alone, and an ablation without certification. Overall, online risk certification enables reliable drift response and reframes monitoring as decision-making with safety.
Metadata
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"raw_xml": "<entry>\n <id>http://arxiv.org/abs/2603.08578v1</id>\n <title>Drift-to-Action Controllers: Budgeted Interventions with Online Risk Certificates</title>\n <updated>2026-03-09T16:34:12Z</updated>\n <link href='https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.08578v1' rel='alternate' type='text/html'/>\n <link href='https://arxiv.org/pdf/2603.08578v1' rel='related' title='pdf' type='application/pdf'/>\n <summary>Deployed machine learning systems face distribution drift, yet most monitoring pipelines stop at alarms and leave the response underspecified under labeling, compute, and latency constraints. We introduce Drift2Act, a drift-to-action controller that treats monitoring as constrained decision-making with explicit safety. Drift2Act combines a sensing layer that maps unlabeled monitoring signals to a belief over drift types with an active risk certificate that queries a small set of delayed labels from a recent window to produce an anytime-valid upper bound $U_t(δ)$ on current risk. The certificate gates operation: if $U_t(δ) \\le τ$, the controller selects low-cost actions (e.g., recalibration or test-time adaptation); if $U_t(δ) > τ$, it activates abstain/handoff and escalates to rollback or retraining under cooldowns. In a realistic streaming protocol with label delay and explicit intervention costs, Drift2Act achieves near-zero safety violations and fast recovery at moderate cost on WILDS Camelyon17, DomainNet, and a controlled synthetic drift stream, outperforming alarm-only monitoring, adapt-always adaptation, schedule-based retraining, selective prediction alone, and an ablation without certification. Overall, online risk certification enables reliable drift response and reframes monitoring as decision-making with safety.</summary>\n <category scheme='http://arxiv.org/schemas/atom' term='cs.LG'/>\n <category scheme='http://arxiv.org/schemas/atom' term='cs.CL'/>\n <published>2026-03-09T16:34:12Z</published>\n <arxiv:comment>Published as a conference paper at CAO Workshop at ICLR 2026</arxiv:comment>\n <arxiv:primary_category term='cs.LG'/>\n <author>\n <name>Ismail Lamaakal</name>\n </author>\n <author>\n <name>Chaymae Yahyati</name>\n </author>\n <author>\n <name>Khalid El Makkaoui</name>\n </author>\n <author>\n <name>Ibrahim Ouahbi</name>\n </author>\n <author>\n <name>Yassine Maleh</name>\n </author>\n </entry>"
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